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Three Factors That Make Hurricane Ian a Serious Flooding Risk for Florida

A Creative Commons licence has been used to republish this article from The Conversation. Check out the original article.

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Hurricane Ian became stronger as it approached Florida and was expected to hit the majority of the state this week with a strong storm surge and perhaps torrential rains.

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Ian is in perfect shape after a sluggish start to the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. It has less vertical wind shear,  variation in wind direction and speed at various heights.

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On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, Category 3 or higher is what forecasters predict Ian will become.

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 winds of at least 110 mph, probable before Tuesday's passing of western Cuba. Before reaching the United States, its winds may begin to diminish.

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Flooding and storm surge are also significant dangers from Ian, but the scale doesn't take water risk into consideration.

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I'm a Florida-based meteorologist that specialises in hurricanes and tropical storms. Here are three causes of the increased danger of water hazards this week along Florida's Gulf Coast.

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Tropical systems often have one side that is bigger because they are not totally symmetrical. Ian was following the Florida West Coast.

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The storm is predicted to be on the "wet" side of the peninsula. the portion of the storm to the east of the circulation centre

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By Cali Crystal             May 19, 2020

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